{"id":760,"date":"2022-01-13T17:48:50","date_gmt":"2022-01-13T17:48:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/?page_id=760"},"modified":"2022-02-08T21:08:33","modified_gmt":"2022-02-08T21:08:33","slug":"shayne-kavanagh","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/","title":{"rendered":"Shayne Kavanagh"},"content":{"rendered":"<!--themify_builder_content-->\n<div id=\"themify_builder_content-760\" data-postid=\"760\" class=\"themify_builder_content themify_builder_content-760 themify_builder tf_clear\">\n                    <div  data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_row themify_builder_row dropPadding-bottom tb_ut27548 tb_first tf_w\">\n                        <div class=\"row_inner col_align_top tb_col_count_2 tf_box tf_rel\">\n                        <div  data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_column tb-column col4-1 tb_wgir548 first\">\n                    <!-- module image -->\n<div  class=\"module module-image tb_zrc9548 image-top  track decisionRisk tf_mw\" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div class=\"image-wrap tf_rel tf_mw\">\n            <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg\" class=\"wp-post-image wp-image-699\" title=\"Shayne Kavanagh\" alt=\"Shayne Kavanagh headshot\">    \n        <\/div>\n    <!-- \/image-wrap -->\n    \n        <div class=\"image-content\">\n                    <h3 class=\"image-title\">\n                                    Shayne Kavanagh                            <\/h3>\n                    <\/div>\n    <!-- \/image-content -->\n        <\/div>\n<!-- \/module image -->        <\/div>\n                    <div  data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_column tb-column col4-3 tb_owa9549 last\">\n                    <!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_kfbs549   \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <h1>Shayne Kavanagh<\/h1>\n<h5>Senior Manager of Research at Government Finance Officers Association<\/h5>\n<p>Shayne is the Senior Manager of Research for GFOA and has been a leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning, policies, and probabilistic financial risk analysis for local government. He started GFOA\u2019s long-term financial planning and policy consulting offering in 2002 and has been working with governments on financial planning, policies, and risk assessment ever since. Shayne has worked with many local governments on financial planning and policies, including counties, cities, and school districts. Shayne is also the Chair of Government Finance Applications for ProbabilityManagement.org.<\/p>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text -->        <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n                        <div  data-css_id=\"7m3v650\" data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_row themify_builder_row fullwidth_row_container tb_7m3v650 tf_w\">\n                        <div class=\"row_inner col_align_top tb_col_count_1 tf_box tf_rel\">\n                        <div  data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_column tb-column col-full tb_yix8651 first\">\n                    <!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_cqdr651 level associate  \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <p>Associate<\/p>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text --><!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_t68t63 level professional  \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <p>Professional<\/p>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text --><!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_qx7s834 level executive  \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <p>Executive<\/p>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text --><!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_xmz7651 track decisionRisk  \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <h6>Track: Decision &amp; Risk Analysis<\/h6>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text --><!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_hdao651   \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <h2>The Changing Risk Profile for Public Sector and What to Do About It<\/h2>\n<p>We live in a VUCA world: volatile, uncertain, complex, ambiguous. Essential to managing risk in this environment is thinking probabilistically. In this session we\u2019ll cover the practical application of probabilistic thinking to government, including many real-life examples. Attendees will leave with an understanding of why we need probabilistic thinking, essential concepts in probabilistic thinking, examples how probabilistic thinking can be applied in local government, and access to an Excel-based tool that allows you to get started with probabilistic analysis at home.<\/p>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text -->        <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n<!--\/themify_builder_content-->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Shayne Kavanagh Shayne Kavanagh Senior Manager of Research at Government Finance Officers Association Shayne is the Senior Manager of Research for GFOA and has been a leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning, policies, and probabilistic financial risk analysis for local government. He started GFOA\u2019s long-term financial planning and policy consulting [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001077,"featured_media":699,"parent":256,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-760","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","has-post-title","has-post-date","has-post-category","has-post-tag","has-post-comment","has-post-author",""],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Shayne Kavanagh - 2022 INFORMS Business Analytics Conference<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Shayne Kavanagh\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Shayne Kavanagh Shayne Kavanagh Senior Manager of Research at Government Finance Officers Association Shayne is the Senior Manager of Research for GFOA and has been a leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning, policies, and probabilistic financial risk analysis for local government. He started GFOA\u2019s long-term financial planning and policy consulting [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"2022 INFORMS Business Analytics Conference\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/INFORMSpage\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-02-08T21:08:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"300\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"300\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@INFORMS\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/\",\"name\":\"Shayne Kavanagh - 2022 INFORMS Business Analytics Conference\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-01-13T17:48:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-02-08T21:08:33+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg\",\"width\":300,\"height\":300},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Speakers\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Shayne Kavanagh\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/\",\"name\":\"INFORMS Business Analytics Conference 2022\",\"description\":\"Houston, TX | April 3-5, 2022\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#organization\",\"name\":\"INFORMS\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2021\/04\/Full_Color_INFORMS_Logo.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2021\/04\/Full_Color_INFORMS_Logo.jpg\",\"width\":2023,\"height\":486,\"caption\":\"INFORMS\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/INFORMSpage\/\",\"https:\/\/x.com\/INFORMS\",\"http:\/\/instagram.com\/informs_orms\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/groups\/82644\/profile\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Shayne Kavanagh - 2022 INFORMS Business Analytics Conference","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Shayne Kavanagh","og_description":"Shayne Kavanagh Shayne Kavanagh Senior Manager of Research at Government Finance Officers Association Shayne is the Senior Manager of Research for GFOA and has been a leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning, policies, and probabilistic financial risk analysis for local government. He started GFOA\u2019s long-term financial planning and policy consulting [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/","og_site_name":"2022 INFORMS Business Analytics Conference","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/INFORMSpage\/","article_modified_time":"2022-02-08T21:08:33+00:00","og_image":[{"width":300,"height":300,"url":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@INFORMS","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/","url":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/","name":"Shayne Kavanagh - 2022 INFORMS Business Analytics Conference","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg","datePublished":"2022-01-13T17:48:50+00:00","dateModified":"2022-02-08T21:08:33+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg","width":300,"height":300},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/shayne-kavanagh\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Speakers","item":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/speakers\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Shayne Kavanagh"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#website","url":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/","name":"INFORMS Business Analytics Conference 2022","description":"Houston, TX | April 3-5, 2022","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#organization","name":"INFORMS","url":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2021\/04\/Full_Color_INFORMS_Logo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2021\/04\/Full_Color_INFORMS_Logo.jpg","width":2023,"height":486,"caption":"INFORMS"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/INFORMSpage\/","https:\/\/x.com\/INFORMS","http:\/\/instagram.com\/informs_orms","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/groups\/82644\/profile"]}]}},"builder_content":"<img src=\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/files\/2022\/01\/shayneKavanagh.jpg\" title=\"Shayne Kavanagh\" alt=\"Shayne Kavanagh headshot\"> <h3> Shayne Kavanagh <\/h3>\n<h1>Shayne Kavanagh<\/h1> <h5>Senior Manager of Research at Government Finance Officers Association<\/h5> <p>Shayne is the Senior Manager of Research for GFOA and has been a leader in developing the practice and technique of long-term financial planning, policies, and probabilistic financial risk analysis for local government. He started GFOA\u2019s long-term financial planning and policy consulting offering in 2002 and has been working with governments on financial planning, policies, and risk assessment ever since. Shayne has worked with many local governments on financial planning and policies, including counties, cities, and school districts. Shayne is also the Chair of Government Finance Applications for ProbabilityManagement.org.<\/p>\n<p>Associate<\/p>\n<p>Professional<\/p>\n<p>Executive<\/p>\n<h6>Track: Decision &amp; Risk Analysis<\/h6>\n<h2>The Changing Risk Profile for Public Sector and What to Do About It<\/h2> <p>We live in a VUCA world: volatile, uncertain, complex, ambiguous. Essential to managing risk in this environment is thinking probabilistically. In this session we\u2019ll cover the practical application of probabilistic thinking to government, including many real-life examples. Attendees will leave with an understanding of why we need probabilistic thinking, essential concepts in probabilistic thinking, examples how probabilistic thinking can be applied in local government, and access to an Excel-based tool that allows you to get started with probabilistic analysis at home.<\/p>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001077"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=760"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/760\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1282,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/760\/revisions\/1282"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/256"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/699"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2022\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}