{"id":5657,"date":"2024-02-28T20:15:19","date_gmt":"2024-02-28T20:15:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/?page_id=5657"},"modified":"2024-03-05T14:55:18","modified_gmt":"2024-03-05T14:55:18","slug":"efrain-rosemberg","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/speakers\/efrain-rosemberg\/","title":{"rendered":"Efrain Rosemberg"},"content":{"rendered":"<!--themify_builder_content-->\n<div id=\"themify_builder_content-5657\" data-postid=\"5657\" class=\"themify_builder_content themify_builder_content-5657 themify_builder tf_clear\">\n                    <div  data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_row themify_builder_row dropPadding-bottom tb_0l52602 tb_first tf_w\">\n                        <div class=\"row_inner col_align_top tb_col_count_2 tf_box tf_rel\">\n                        <div  data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_column tb-column col4-1 tb_0ygc603 first\">\n                    <!-- module image -->\n<div  class=\"module module-image tb_esex603 image-top   tf_mw\" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div class=\"image-wrap tf_rel tf_mw\">\n            <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/files\/2024\/03\/Efrain_Rosemberg.jpg\" class=\"wp-post-image wp-image-5850\" title=\"Efrain Rosemberg\" alt=\"Efrain Rosemberg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/files\/2024\/03\/Efrain_Rosemberg.jpg 300w, https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/files\/2024\/03\/Efrain_Rosemberg-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>    \n        <\/div>\n    <!-- \/image-wrap -->\n    \n        <div class=\"image-content\">\n                    <h3 class=\"image-title\">\n                                    Efrain Rosemberg                            <\/h3>\n                    <\/div>\n    <!-- \/image-content -->\n        <\/div>\n<!-- \/module image -->        <\/div>\n                    <div  data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_column tb-column col4-3 tb_g2w3604 last\">\n                    <!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_t7c7604   \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <h1>Efrain Rosemberg<\/h1>\n<h5>Spain CFO at Microsoft<\/h5>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text --><!-- module accordion -->\n<div  class=\"module module-accordion tb_2plz358 \" data-behavior=\"toggle\" data-lazy=\"1\">\n    \n    <ul class=\"ui module-accordion  glossy tb_default_color\">\n            <li>\n            <div class=\"accordion-title tf_rel\">\n                <a href=\"#acc-2plz358-0\" class=\"tb_title_accordion\" aria-controls=\"acc-2plz358-0-content\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n                    <i class=\"accordion-icon\"><svg  class=\"tf_fa tf-ti-plus\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#tf-ti-plus\"><\/use><\/svg><\/i>                    <i class=\"accordion-active-icon tf_hide\"><svg  class=\"tf_fa tf-ti-minus\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#tf-ti-minus\"><\/use><\/svg><\/i>                    <span class=\"accordion-title-wrap\">Bio<\/span>                <\/a>\n            <\/div><!-- .accordion-title -->\n            <div id=\"acc-2plz358-0-content\" data-id=\"acc-2plz358-0\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"accordion-content tf_hide tf_clearfix\">\n                                    <div class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n                        <p>Efra\u00edn Rosemberg has an extensive professional resume with more than 18 years of international experience in finance and project management, working for companies such as Procter &amp; Gamble and L\u2019\u00d3real. At P&amp;G, he held various positions of responsibility in the Finance area in Peru, Brazil, Switzerland, and Spain for over 13 years. Before joining Microsoft as the Spain CFO, Efra\u00edn Rosemberg was the financial director of L\u2019\u00d3real\u2019s pharmaceutical division in Spain.<\/p>\n<p>An Industrial Engineer from the Catholic University of Peru, Efra\u00edn Rosemberg has postgraduate studies from the University of California at Berkeley and IE Business School, where he graduated with honors and is also an adjunct professor, receiving the teaching excellence award for three consecutive years 2021 to 2023. He is currently a doctoral candidate in Decision Sciences at IE University, where he researches collective prediction processes and error management in teams. Finally, his latest publications are chapter collaborations for \u201cJudgment in predictive analytics\u201d and \u201cLeading digital transformation from people\u2019.<\/p>                    <\/div>\n                            <\/div><!-- .accordion-content -->\n        <\/li>\n        <\/ul>\n\n<\/div><!-- \/module accordion -->        <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n                        <div  data-css_id=\"u6fe602\" data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_row themify_builder_row fullwidth_row_container tb_u6fe602 tf_w\">\n                        <div class=\"row_inner col_align_top tb_col_count_1 tf_box tf_rel\">\n                        <div  data-lazy=\"1\" class=\"module_column tb-column col-full tb_84q1605 first\">\n                    <!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_k572608 track  \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <h6>Track: Soft Skills<\/h6>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text --><!-- module text -->\n<div  class=\"module module-text tb_xwmz608   \" data-lazy=\"1\">\n        <div  class=\"tb_text_wrap\">\n        <h2>Mindful Organizing as a Determinant of Collective Forecasting Performance<\/h2>\n<p>Effective forecasting within organizations is intricate. It requires building flexible models that fit ever-changing task conditions and awareness of the\u2014often overlooked\u2014social context, which infuses human judgment and group dynamics in the process. To address forecasting as a socio-technical challenge, this article posits the mindful organizing framework (Weick, 1995; Weick et al., 1999): a combination of collective processes such as attention to errors, reluctance to simplify interpretations, and support of a fluid hierarchy. The article reports the results of an experimental study involving 40 hierarchical forecasting triads, where the treatment groups received interventions to improve accuracy via fostering mindful organizing processes. Treatment groups achieved significantly higher point forecast accuracy than control groups when using the leader&#8217;s forecast and a mean of the triad&#8217;s individual forecasts (24% and 22% MAPE scores improvements, respectively), suggesting that focusing on the quality of team interactions and error deliberation can enhance judgmental forecasting.<\/p>    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/module text -->        <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n<!--\/themify_builder_content-->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Efrain Rosemberg Spain CFO at Microsoft<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001140,"featured_media":0,"parent":712,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-5657","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","has-post-title","has-post-date","has-post-category","has-post-tag","has-post-comment","has-post-author",""],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v26.0) - 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At P&amp;G, he held various positions of responsibility in the Finance area in Peru, Brazil, Switzerland, and Spain for over 13 years. Before joining Microsoft as the Spain CFO, Efra\u00edn Rosemberg was the financial director of L\u2019\u00d3real\u2019s pharmaceutical division in Spain.<\/p> <p>An Industrial Engineer from the Catholic University of Peru, Efra\u00edn Rosemberg has postgraduate studies from the University of California at Berkeley and IE Business School, where he graduated with honors and is also an adjunct professor, receiving the teaching excellence award for three consecutive years 2021 to 2023. He is currently a doctoral candidate in Decision Sciences at IE University, where he researches collective prediction processes and error management in teams. Finally, his latest publications are chapter collaborations for \u201cJudgment in predictive analytics\u201d and \u201cLeading digital transformation from people\u2019.<\/p><\/li><\/ul>\n<h6>Track: Soft Skills<\/h6>\n<h2>Mindful Organizing as a Determinant of Collective Forecasting Performance<\/h2> <p>Effective forecasting within organizations is intricate. It requires building flexible models that fit ever-changing task conditions and awareness of the\u2014often overlooked\u2014social context, which infuses human judgment and group dynamics in the process. To address forecasting as a socio-technical challenge, this article posits the mindful organizing framework (Weick, 1995; Weick et al., 1999): a combination of collective processes such as attention to errors, reluctance to simplify interpretations, and support of a fluid hierarchy. The article reports the results of an experimental study involving 40 hierarchical forecasting triads, where the treatment groups received interventions to improve accuracy via fostering mindful organizing processes. Treatment groups achieved significantly higher point forecast accuracy than control groups when using the leader's forecast and a mean of the triad's individual forecasts (24% and 22% MAPE scores improvements, respectively), suggesting that focusing on the quality of team interactions and error deliberation can enhance judgmental forecasting.<\/p>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001140"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5657"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5657\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5852,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/5657\/revisions\/5852"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/712"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/meetings.informs.org\/wordpress\/analytics2024\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}